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Publications

Project Deliverables

  1. Deliverable 1.1: Climate change impacts on European biodiversity – observations and future projections. [PDF, 470 KB]

  2. Deliverable D2.1: Review paper of the contribution of different models for assessing the impacts of climate change. [PDF, 541 KB]

  3. Deliverables 2.2 and 2.3: Meta-analysis of adaptation and mitigation measures across the EU25 and their impacts and recommendations how negative impacts can be avoided. [PDF, 1278 KB]

  4. Deliverable 3.4: Report on improved method for reserve selection. [PDF, 436 KB]

  5. Deliverable 4.1: Policy Analysis for Biodiversity under climate change. [PDF, 522 KB]

Project Publications

  1. Piper, J. & MACIS Partners (2008) Minimisation of and Adaptation to Climate change Impacts on biodiverSity. Poster displayed by J. Piper at workshop on ‘Projecting the Impact of Climate Change on Biodiversity’, June 2008. [PDF, ~3000 KB]

  2. Albert C., Thuiller W., Lavorel S., Davies I.D. & Garbolino E. (in press) Land use change and sub-alpine tree dynamics: colonisation of Larix decidua in French sub-alpine grasslands. – Journal of Applied Ecology.

  3. Araújo, M.B. (in press) Climate change and Spatial Conservation Planning. In Spatial Conservation Prioritization: quantitative methods and computational tools (eds. A. Moilanen, H. Possingham, K. Wilson). Oxford University Press.

  4. Araujo, M.B., Nogues-Bravo, D., Reginster, I., Rounsevell, M., & Whittaker, R.J., (in press) Exposure of European biodiversity to changes in human-induced pressures. – Environmental Science and Policy 11: 38-45.

  5. Broennimann O., Treier U.A., Müller-Schärer H., Thuiller W., Peterson A.T. & Guisan A. (2007) Evidence of climatic niche shift during biological invasion. – Ecology Letters 10(8): 701-709.

  6. Engler, R. & Guisan, A. (in prep., to be submitted) MigClim: Predicting plant distribution and dispersal in a changing climate. – Ecological Modelling.

  7. Ficetola G.F., Thuiller W. & Miaud C. (2007) Prediction and validation of the potential global distribution of a problematic alien invasive species (the American bullfrog). – Diversity and Distributions 13(4): 476-485.

  8. Hannah, L., Midgley, G.F., Andelmand, S., Araujo, M.B., Hughes, G., Martinez-Meyer, E., Pearson, R. & Williams, P.H. (2007) Protected area needs in a changing climate. – Frontiers in Ecology and Environment 5: 131-138.

  9. Hickler, T., Fronzek, S., Miller, P., Smith, B., Araujo, M.B., Schweiger, O., Sykes, M.T., Thuiller, W. (in review). Studies on future species distributions and biodiversity using bioclimatic envelope models might have been based upon misleading measures of water availability.

  10. Keith, D.A., Akçakaya, H.R., Thuiller, W., Midgley, G.F., Pearson, R.G., Phillips, S.J., Regan, H.M., Araújo, M.B. & Rebelo, T.G. (in press) Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models. – Biology Letters.

  11. Kühn, I.; Settele, J., Nigmann, U., Rattei, S., Schmidt, A. & MACIS Partners (2007) Policy options to minimize negative effects of climate change on biodiversity. – Sustainable Neighbourhood - from Lisbon to Leipzig through Research, Leipzig, 8-10 May 2007. on-line summary

  12. Kunstler G., Thuiller W., Curt T., Bouchaud M., Jouvie R., Deruette F. & Lepart J. (2007) Fagus sylvatica L. recruitment across a fragmented Mediterranean Landscape, importance of long distance effective dispersal, abiotic conditions and biotic interactions. – Diversity and Distributions 13(6): 799-807.

  13. Morin, X., Thuiller, W., (in review) Species' range shift under climate change – reducing predictions’ uncertainties through the comparison of niche and process-based approaches.

  14. Report about MACIS – Natura 2000 European Commission DG ENV nature newsletter, June 2007, 22: 13.

  15. Nigmann, U. (2006) MACIS - Das Gewürz der Politikberatung zum Klimawandel und zur Biodiversität. – UFZeitung 2006: 39.

  16. Nigmann, U.; Kühn, I.; Settele; J. & MACIS Partners (2007) Minimisation of Negative Effects of Climate Change on Biodiversity: The EU Policy Support Project MACIS. (Abstract) – Verhandlungen der Gesellschaft für Ökologie 37: 417.

  17. Nigmann, U.; Münch, D.; Münch, M. & Achtziger, R. (submitted): Verbreitung und Ausbreitung der Platanenwanze Arocatus longiceps STÅL, 1872 in Ostdeutschland (Heteroptera, Lygaeidae) – V Sächsische Entomologische Zeitschrift.

  18. Paterson, J.S., Araújo, M.B., Berry, P.M., Piper, J.M., and Rounsevell, M. (in press) Mitigation, adaptation and the threat to biodiversity. – Conservation Biology.

  19. Piper, J. and Wilson, E. (submitted) Comparing three national strategies for climate change adaptation: the salience of planning for biodiversity. – European Planning Studies.

  20. Pressey, R.L., Cabeza, M., Watts, M.E., Cowling, R.M. and Wilson, K.A. (2007) Conservation planning in a changing world. – Trends in Ecology and Evolution 22: 583-592.

  21. Quetier F., Lavorel S., Thuiller W. & Davies I. (in press) Plant trait-based assessment of ecosystem service sensitivity to land-use change in mountain grasslands. – Ecological applications.

  22. Randin, C.F., Engler, R., Vittoz, P., Czáka, T., Beniston, M., Zimmermann, N.E. & Guisan, A. (in prep., to be submitted) Simulating dispersal of plant species under transient climate change in a mountain environment: towards more realistic projections? – Global Change Biology.

  23. Randin, C.F., Engler, R., Zappa, M., Normand, S., Zimmermann, N.E., Pearman, P., Vittoz, P., Thuiller, W. & Guisan, A. (in revision) Extinction risk of plant species in mountain regions: contrasted views from continental and local scales. – Global Change Biology.

  24. Rickebusch, S., Thuiller, W., Hickler, T., Araújo, M.B., Sykes, M.T., Schweiger, O. & Lafourcade, B. (accepted): Incorporating the effects of changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on water availability in plant habitat models. – Biology Letters.

  25. Schweiger, O., Settele, J., Kudrna, O., Klotz, S., Kühn, I. (2008): Climate change can cause spatial mismatch of trophically interacting species. – Ecology.

  26. Settele, J. & Kühn, I. (2007): Die Natur würfelt neu. – Der Klimawandel stellt viele Organismen vor Herausforderungen und schafft neue Lebensgemeinschaften. – UFZ-Newsletter Februar 2007: 6.

  27. Thuiller W. (2006) Les modèles du changement climatique - Anticiper l'impact. – Espace Naturels 15: 10.

  28. Thuiller W. (2007) Biodiversity - Climate Change and the Ecologist. – Nature 448: 550-552.

  29. Thuiller W. (2007) Coup de chaud sur la biosphère. Sciences et Avenir – Hors Série 150: 48-52.

  30. Thuiller W., Richardson D.M. & Midgley G.F. (2007) Will climate change promote alien plant invasions? In: Biological Invasions (ed. Nentwig W), pp. 197-211. Springer-Verlag, Ecological Studies, Berlin Heidelberg.

  31. Thuiller, W., Albert, C., Araújo, M.B., Berry, P.M., Guisan, A., Hickler, T., Midgley, G.F., Paterson, J., Schurr, F.M., Sykes, M.T. and Zimmermann, N.E. (2008). Predicting global change impacts on plant species distributions: future challenges. – Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 9: 137-152.

  32. Trivedi, M.R., Berry, P.M., Morecroft, M.D. and Dawson, T.P. (2008). Spatial scale affects bioclimate model projections of climate change impacts on mountain plants. – Global Change Biology 14: 1089-1103.

  33. Walther B.A., Schäffer N., Van Niekerk A., Thuiller W., Rahbek C. & Chown S.L. (2007) Modelling the winter distribution of a rare and endangered migrant, the Aquatic Warbler Acrocephalus paludicola. – IBIS 149: 701-714.

  34. Wilson, E. & Piper, J. (in press) Spatial planning for biodiversity in Europe’s changing climate. – European Environment.

Last update: 25 June 2008
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